forecasting of some life phenomena in the city of Zliten using the generalized Weibel distribution

Abstract

This research reviews one of the very important probability distributions and how to benefit from it in our daily and future lives, in particular in the predictions of some life phenomena for the city of Zliten. The use of these estimations using the simulation method in the long-term prediction of the expected possibilities by the least squares method (LSM) for temperatures, rainfall and humidity for the city of Zliten, with a comparison between the real and estimated values ​​of the study data, in addition, the appropriateness of temperature data was highlighted, the quantities of Precipitation, relative humidity of the three-parameter Weibull distribution, and the extent of similarity of the real and estimated values ​​through the three-parameter Weibull probability distribution, andforecasting temperatures, rainfall, and relative humidity during the time period (2019-2049). The results showed the appropriateness of the study data to the distribution of generalized Weibull, and that the temperatures and amounts of rain for the city of Zliten for the period from 1980-2009 increased with the progression of the years, and there is a probability that its value exceeded 95% of a rise in the average temperature and its average is likely not less than (027 °C). ) There is a certain possibility that amounts of rain will likely average not less than (94.09 mm), and there is a certain possibility of high relative humidity, and its average is likely not less than (62) on the city of Zliten during the time period (2019-2049).