التكامل المشترك بين الصادرات والواردات
دراسة قياسية على الاقتصاد الليبي خلال الفترة (1960 – 2016 م)
Keywords:
الصادرات, الواردات, الاقتصاد الليبي, إنجل - جرانجر, التكامل المشترك, نموذج تصحيح الخطأAbstract
تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى فحص العلاقة طويلة الأجل بين الصادرات والواردات في ليبيا ب استخدام بيانات سنوية خلال الفتـرة مـن 1960 إلـى 2016. م اعتمدت الدراسة على منهجية التكامل المشترك بأسلوب إنجـل - جرانجر (test integration-co Granger-Engle (للكشف عن العلاقة في الأجل الطويل، وعلى نموذج تصحيح الخطأ (ECM)للتعرف على العلاقـة السببية في الأجلين الطويل والقصير واتجاهها. توصلت الدراسة إلى وجـود علاقة تكاملية في الآجل الطويل بين الصادرات والواردات وعلاقـة سـببية موجبة بين الصادرات والواردات في الآجلين القصير والطويل.
References
- Al-Khulaifi, A. S. (2013). Exports and imports in Qatar: Evidence from cointegration and error correction model. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 3(9), 1122. Arize, A. C. (2002). Imports and exports in 50 countries: tests of cointegration and structural breaks. International Review of Economics & Finance, 11(1), 101-115. Arize, A. C., & Bahmani-Oskooee, M. (2017).
- Do Imports and Exports Adjust Nonlinearly? Evidence from 100 Countries. Global Economy Journal, 18(1).
- Babatunde, M. A. (2014). Are exports and imports cointegrated? Evidence from Nigeria. Journal of International and Global Economic Studies, 7(2), 45-67.
- Baek, J. (2016). Analyzing a Long-Run Relationship between Exports and Imports Revisited: Evidence from G-7 Countries. Economics Bulletin, 36(2), 665-676.
- El Alaoui, A. (2015). Causality and cointegration between export, import and economic growth: evidence from Morocco. Theoretical and Applied Economics, 1(1), 69.
- Etelawi, A. M., Blatner, K. A., & McCluskey, J. (2017). Crude Oil and the Libyan Economy. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 9(4), 95.
- Etelawi, A. M., Blatner, K. A., & McCluskey, J. (2017). Sustainability and Depletion Accounting: A Case Study of Oil in Libya. Environment and Natural Resources Research, 7(1), 34.
- G. Ramakrishna, Ravinder Rena, M. Ramulu. (2013). An Empirical Analysis of Exports and Imports of South Africa (1970-2010): Are they Cointegrated, https://www.researchgate.net Damodar, N. (2004). Basic econometrics, 4th edition, McGraw- Hill Companies, Inc, New York, pp 823- 825.
- Greene, W.H. (2002). Econometric analysis, 5th edition, Upper Saddle River, New Jersey, Prentice Hall, pp654-655. Haque, M. I. (2015). Are exports and imports of Saudi Arabia cointegrated? An empirical study. Applied Econometrics and International Development, 15(1), 111-124.
- Hussein, J. (2014). Are exports and Imports cointegrated? Evidence from nine MENA countries. Applied Econometrics and International Development, 14(1), 123-132.
- Konya, L., & Singh, J. P. (2008). Are Indian exports and imports cointegrated?. Applied Econometrics and International Development, 8(2).176-186.
- Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Annual Statistics Bulletin, Different Issues.
- Rammadhan, M., & Naseeb, A. (2008). The long-run relationship between oil exports and aggregate imports in the gcc: Cointegration analysis. Journal of Economic Cooperation, 29(2), 69-84.
- Saaed, A. A. J., & Hussain, M. A. (2015). Impact of exports and imports on economic growth: Evidence from Tunisia. Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences, 6(1), 13.
- Tang, T. C., & Alias, M. H. (2005). Are imports and exports of OIC member countries cointegrated? An empirical study. Labuan Bulletin of International Business and Finance, 3, 33-47.
- World Statistics, world statistics.org.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2018 Journal of Economic and Political Sciences
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
